#Mongolia #Ulaanbaatar #Mongolia Election #Oyun-Erdene #Political Polling

Public Support for Prime Minister Oyun-Erdene Before Confidence Vote

As Mongolia gears up for its historic parliamentary vote of confidence in Prime Minister L. Oyun-Erdene, new polling data reveals an overwhelming majority of voters is in favor of the current leader. Conducted by Sancrox Political Advisory from May 28 to May 30, 2025, the nationwide survey shows that 63% of Mongolians support Oyun-Erdene remaining in office and implementing the National Wealth Fund policy. This sentiment highlights a decisive backing from the electorate as the country observes a pivotal moment in its political landscape.

Key Polling Findings

Among the highlighted results from the recent polling, majorities also indicated their preferences regarding several substantial topics. Approximately 53% believe that the members of parliament should align with the Prime Minister during the confidence vote, while 37% support a no-confidence motion, and a small percentage of 10% remain undecided. Notably, the overwhelming demand for public voting has been voiced, with 87% insisting that the confidence vote should be conducted transparently rather than via a secret ballot, indicating the public's desire for an open and accountable political process.

Voters also showcased strong preferences for limiting presidential terms; 74% indicated they wish for a single-term limitation for the President, demonstrating a clear preference for restricting presidential power while focusing on parliamentary governance.

Furthermore, a majority of respondents (54%) expressed a desire to retain the parliamentary system under Prime Minister Oyun-Erdene, contrasting with only 32% who would favor shifting to a presidential system with the current President. The choice of government structure is not merely an academic exercise for voters; it’s seen as foundational to Mongolia’s stability and future political direction.

Broader Political Implications

The polling indicates that public opinion leans heavily towards the idea of maintaining a coalition government. Results show that 51% of voters prefer Oyun-Erdene to remain in his role as Prime Minister leading a coalition, while 38% support a government solely from the Mongolian People's Party (MPP) led by a president-appointed Prime Minister. The preference for coalition governance (67% favor) versus a singular party control (26% favor) emphasizes the electorate’s desire for collaboration and consensus in governance.

As the confidence vote approaches, the data illuminates that citizens not only support Oyun-Erdene’s economic initiatives, particularly the National Wealth Fund, but they also stand firmly against the expansion of presidential powers. This reflects an understanding of the delicate balance between parliamentary and presidential authority, particularly in a nation seeking to establish democratic norms and strengthen political institutions.

Conclusion

This upcoming parliamentary vote is not just a test for Oyun-Erdene but also a significant moment for Mongolia's democratic evolution. The polls exhibit a favorable outlook towards Oyun-Erdene's government while underlining the demand for transparency, the preservation of limited presidential powers, and the continuation of a collaborative approach to governance. As Mongolia stands on the brink of this historical vote, it remains to be seen how these sentiments will translate into parliamentary action and what it means for the future trajectory of the nation's political landscape.