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Trump's Approval Steady Amid Economic Recovery and Concerns Over Policies

The latest Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll, conducted by Stagwell, reflects a striking moment in American politics. As of May 2025, former President Donald Trump's approval rating remains at 47%, which is only a slight decline of one point from April. This is particularly significant given the recent improvements in economic sentiment among voters. According to the survey, 51% of respondents now believe that the economy is strong, a notable increase from the previous month, reflecting a shift in public perception following a turbulent period.

Despite this overall stability in approval levels, the poll indicates that voters harbor growing concerns about certain policy areas, particularly immigration and trade tariffs. While 87% of Republican voters still back Trump, a considerable number from other political affiliations are less supportive: 83% of Democrats disapprove, and the same goes for 50% of Independents. The increasing unease seems to stem from perceptions that Trump may be overstepping boundaries with his executive actions regarding tariffs and deportations, raising questions about the sustainability of these policies.

Immigration Policies and Economic Achievements

Among Trump's array of policies, immigration strategies seem to be his most lauded achievement, garnering 51% approval. In contrast, his tariffs are viewed as a significant failure, with only 42% of voters supporting his trade strategies. These figures highlight a paradox within the administration's public reception: while Trump's immigration measures resonate positively with many, his trade policies draw substantial criticism.

Mark Penn, the Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and CEO of Stagwell, emphasized that Trump must address rising prescription drug costs and inflation to bolster his approval further. If he can effectively tackle these issues, he could see a jump of up to 10% in voter approval.

Public Optimism About Economic Direction

Interestingly, the survey found that voters have become more positive about the country’s trajectory: 42% believe it's headed in the right direction, an increase of three points from April and up sixteen points since November 2024. Additionally, 34% perceive their financial situations as improving. This is a notable finding, especially as the lowest percentage since October 2021, where respondents reported worsening financial circumstances, has now shifted.

Moreover, the Republican Party's approval has seen a resurgence, now at 52%, which is its highest since March 2023. The Democratic Party, however, remains at 42% approval, revealing a partisan divide on various issues, especially concerning government policy and the economy.

Tariffs and Trade Concerns

While sentiments about the economy are brightening overall, significant divisions remain regarding tariffs and trade. Poll data illustrated that many voters think the administration’s tariff approach harms the economy, especially among Democrats where 87% expressed disapproval. Among Republicans, only 22% hold similar views, indicating stark differences in how party lines influence perspectives on economic strategies.

Voters are also sounding alarms about the administration’s deportation policies. While 63% favor closing the Southern border and 75% support the deportation of illegal criminals, many believe the process must ensure due process. Importantly, 59% find the current administration’s actions to be too broad, suggesting a call for more humane immigration practices.

Balancing Government Spending and Public Spending

The desire for financial responsibility resonates strongly within the electorate, with 80% supporting efforts to balance the budget over the coming years while 78% favor reducing government spending. Concerns around the sustainability of federal debt also prevail, with 62% deeming current levels unsustainable.

Amid these discussions, the role of emerging digital currencies like DOGE remains polarizing. While sentiments towards its effectiveness are divided, with voters split on its success in federal expenditure management, many express skepticism about lofty savings projections dating back to its inception.

International Relationships and Security Stances

On the global stage, support remains robust for relations with Saudi Arabia, where 59% of voters endorse a solid partnership. Simultaneously, concerns loom regarding the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, with voters urging for tougher stances on Russia and deeper involvement in humanitarian negotiations.

In conclusion, the May Harvard CAPS / Harris Poll showcases a complex picture as economic optimism grows alongside significant anxiety regarding specific policies. As we head into a politically charged landscape, these insights could influence strategies, especially as Trump navigates the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.