Challenges Facing UK Automotive Manufacturing and Path to Recovery Ahead
The UK automotive sector faced significant obstacles in 2025, with production plummeting by 15.5%. According to recent data from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), factories produced 764,715 vehicles, comprising 717,371 cars and 47,344 commercial vehicles. Notably, car output decreased by 8.0%, while commercial vehicles suffered a staggering 62.3% drop due to ongoing restructuring and external pressures.
This downturn can largely be attributed to multiple factors, including a cyber attack that halted operations at the UK's largest automotive employer, new tariffs affecting transatlantic trade, and the consolidation of commercial vehicle plants as the industry transitions towards sustainability. Despite these challenges, there was a notable uptick in car production in December, where output rose by 17.7% to 53,003 vehicles, signaling a possible turnaround just after a four-month decline.
Throughout the year, the production landscape was not just bleak; car production intended for the UK market decreased by 8.2%, with 161,545 units manufactured, while exports also saw a reduction of 7.9%, totaling 555,826 units and constituting 77.5% of overall output. Europe remained the largest export market for UK vehicles, receiving 56.7% of total exports, despite a decline of 3.3% in shipments. The downturn of exports to the US and China was more pronounced, with drops of 18.3% and 12.5%, respectively, sparked by rising tariff uncertainties earlier in the year.
On a brighter note, production of electric vehicles (EVs), including battery electric vehicles (BEVs), plug-in hybrids (PHEVs), and hybrids (HEVs), saw a 8.3% increase, reaching a record 41.7% share of total output. Upcoming projects and the introduction of several new EV models in the UK could potentially help the sector not only recover but thrive—estimates hint at production growth exceeding 10% in 2026, with output possibly climbing to 790,000 units. If everything goes as planned with the new models set for launch and favorable conditions, reaching a million units by 2027 is within reach.
The UK government is betting on substantial public and private investment, notably through its £4 billion DRIVE35 program, aimed at modernizing the industrial strategy. For the UK automotive industry, achieving the ambition of producing over 1.3 million vehicles annually by 2035 hinges on the successful implementation of this strategy. Essential measures include reducing energy costs—one of the biggest challenges—and ensuring that the entire sector benefits from leading industry initiatives like the British Industrial Competitiveness Scheme, supporting the local supply chain, and establishing a robust domestic market.
The need for a proactive trade agenda to enhance existing and foster new relationships is crucial, as the UK automotive market heavily relies on exports. With Europe continuing to play a dominant role, securing uninterrupted, tariff-free trade and market access is imperative, especially in the wake of potential changes stemming from Brexit negotiations and protectionist measures from the European Commission. Furthermore, maintaining strong export relationships with strategic partners like the US, along with capitalizing on emerging agreements with South Korea and India, is essential to bolster the industry.
Mike Hawes, Chief Executive at SMMT, remarked, "2025 has been the most challenging year for UK vehicle manufacturing in decades, with numerous structural changes, trade obstacles, and external threats affecting output. However, as we look towards 2026, there are positive indicators of recovery. The introduction of innovative electric models and an improved economic environment in critical markets are promising. The key to sustainable growth lies in fostering favorable conditions to attract investments, reduce operational costs, and ensure a thriving domestic market. The government has outlined its commitment to the industry through its Industrial and Trade Strategies; now, it must focus on delivery to realize this potential."
In conclusion, while 2025 posed formidable challenges for the UK automotive industry, the groundwork is being laid for an optimistic recovery in the coming years. As production processes evolve and new models enter the pipeline, the industry's resilience could turn potential adversity into opportunities.