Record Number of Settlements in SPAC Litigation Despite Declining Value Trends
Record Number of Settlements in SPAC Litigation with Falling Values
The Delaware Chancery Court achieved a notable milestone in 2025, witnessing its highest number of settlements related to mergers and acquisitions (M&A) litigation, reaching a total of 25 settlements. This figure marks the highest tally since 2012 and highlights a significant uptick in legal resolutions within this domain. However, contrasting this growth in settlement quantity is a stark decrease in the aggregate value of these settlements, which plummeted to $326.6 million. This figure represents a drastic decline from the inflation-adjusted peak of $734.8 million recorded in 2023, as documented in a recent report by Cornerstone Research.
The Shift in Settlement Dynamics
The report, titled M&A Litigation Settlements in the Delaware Court of Chancery 2012–2025 Review and Analysis, meticulously analyzes data from 143 settlements that disclosed monetary figures over a 14-year span. The findings revealed not only a rising frequency of settlements but also a concerning drop in their monetary worth in the most recent year. Specifically, the median settlement in 2025 reduced to $10 million, which is the lowest median value noted throughout the analyzed period. Moreover, the percentage of settlement values relative to transaction values continued to show a downward trend.
Factors Influencing Lower Settlement Amounts
Several reasons contribute to the observed decrease in settlement values, particularly the substantial rise in litigation involving Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs). These types of cases are typically associated with lower claimed damages, which consequently have led to lower settlement figures. Frank Schneider, Senior Vice President at Cornerstone and co-author of the report, noted that the SPACs involved in litigation often resulted in more modest claims, thus the settlements in these instances tended to be smaller. This trend was compounded by declines in settlement values even in traditional M&A cases, further stressing the overall decline in financial outcomes for plaintiffs.
Most notably, 80% of all 2025 settlements were below $20 million, in stark contrast to the previous years where only 42% of settlements from 2020 to 2024 fell below that threshold.
Correlations Observed in Claims and Settlements
The analysis also unveiled a clear correlation between claimed damages and the resulting settlement outcomes. It was found that claimed damages accounted for 71% of the variance in settlement amounts, indicating a direct link between the size of claims and the settlements received. A 10% increase in claimed damages was statistically associated with approximately a 6.4% increase in settlement amounts. Intriguingly, the report highlighted that as claim sizes grow larger, the median settlement amounts expressed as a percentage of claimed damages tend to decline significantly.
Dominance of SPAC-related Litigations
Delving deeper into the 2025 settlements, it was revealed that litigation connected to de-SPAC transactions constituted 68% of the settlements, capturing 53% of the overall settlement value for the year. The average settlement amount in SPAC litigation was reported at $10.1 million, with a median of $8.8 million.
Traditional M&A litigation also experienced setbacks; non-SPAC cases saw an average settlement reducing to $19.4 million from $41.5 million in 2024, illustrating a clear downturn. Moreover, the median settlement ratio compared to transaction values dropped to 0.5% in 2025, a stark contrast to the 3.9% high recorded in 2020.
Changing Profile of Plaintiffs
The report further indicated a shift in the profile of plaintiffs involved in these settlements, with a notable 72% of 2025 settlements involving stockholders from the acquiring companies (mostly SPAC stockholders). This represents a significant jump from the 29% seen between 2020 and 2024.
Conclusion: A New Era for M&A Litigation?
Lastly, it’s worth mentioning that counsel fees for plaintiffs have also been trending downward, reaching their lowest averages in 2025. The compounding effect of smaller settlements, alongside a decreased percentage awarded as fees, reflects the evolving landscape of M&A litigation. Cornerstone Research continues to stand at the forefront of economic and financial consulting, providing nuanced insights into complex legal disputes and shaping the future of M&A litigation analysis.
For more details on this report and additional information, visit Cornerstone Research's website.