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GSMA's Bold Prediction for 6G Network Spectrum Needs

As the technological landscape continues to evolve, the upcoming sixth generation of mobile networks, commonly referred to as 6G, is poised to revolutionize connectivity. A recent study published by the GSMA, an organization representing the global mobile ecosystem, sheds light on the extensive requirements for the spectrum that 6G will demand.

Dramatic Increase in Spectrum Requirements

The GSMA's analysis reveals that 6G networks will require up to three times more mid-band spectrum than what is currently available. This dramatic increase is essential to accommodate the surging demand for data, artificial intelligence-driven services, and advanced digital applications that society is increasingly leaning towards. The study indicates that from 2035 to 2040, an average of 2-3 GHz of mid-band spectrum per country will be needed to meet capacity requirements, especially in urban areas with high demand. Nations with greater needs may require between 2.5 to 4 GHz.

Implications for Governments and Regulators

With the rollout of 6G expected to begin around 2030, the study is a stark reminder for regulators and policymakers about the pressing need to secure sufficient frequencies. The upcoming WRC-27 conference, organized by the International Telecommunication Union, will be critical for member states to negotiate future mobile bands. Failure to act promptly on these issues could lead to slower speeds, network congestion, and loss of economic opportunities in the 2030s.

John Giusti, the Chief Regulatory Officer of GSMA, highlighted during the presentation of this report that providing the necessary spectrum is vital for fostering robust and sustainable connectivity. Not only will adequate frequency allocation support digital growth, but it will also allow countries to remain competitive in a global economy leaning towards advanced mobile connectivity.

The Road Ahead to 2040

The study doesn't stop at merely identifying the spectrum requirements. Forecasts suggest that by 2040, more than 5 billion 6G connections will be established, representing nearly half of all mobile connections worldwide. Additionally, while 6G will be at the forefront, both 4G and 5G will continue to play critical roles with an expected 2 billion 4G connections and 3 billion 5G connections still in operation.

Interestingly, mobile data traffic is projected to reach staggering 3,900 Exabytes per month by 2040. To prevent overloading existing infrastructure, the report emphasizes that around 2 GHz of mid-band spectrum will be needed by 2030.

Conclusion

In summation, the GSMA's findings flag an essential wake-up call for governments and the telecommunications industry alike. Ensuring the availability of sufficient spectrum is paramount to adequately support the evolving demands of a digital future. As we stand on the brink of a new technological epoch with 6G, timely and strategic planning is not just advisable but necessary to ensure every individual and business can harness the potential of these networks.

With billions set to depend on this infrastructure, the role of policymakers has never been more significant as they navigate the complexities alongside the rapid march towards a more connected world.