Ascend Analytics Unveils Key Insights for Energy Transition in 2025
On January 14, 2025, Ascend Analytics declared the release of its inaugural Energy Transition Predictions, offering valuable insights into the future of the energy sector. Based in Boulder, Colorado, Ascend is recognized as a premier provider of market intelligence and analytics, particularly focused on the evolving landscape of energy transition.
With a shift in political leadership in the United States, Ascend's predictions aim to guide stakeholders in navigating the complexities and uncertainties that abound in today's energy market. The predictions are deeply analyzed by a team of economists and strategists, laying out ten critical themes that underscore the anticipated developments in renewable energy and market dynamics.
Key Predictions for 2025
1.
Tariffs Over IRA Repeal Concerns: Discussions about the potential repeal of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) are predicted to diverge attention away from immediate project impacts. Instead, tariffs are anticipated to significantly affect project costs and interest rates tackling more immediate issues.
2.
Impending Load Growth: The anticipated surge in demand for energy is expected to be steep, indicating a pressing need for new supply resources. The year 2025 may serve as a catalyst for funding from tech giants to address this growing demand as pressure mounts on the energy sector, especially moving into 2026 and beyond.
3.
Emergence of Cannabis as an Energy Consumer: Often overlooked in headlines, cannabis farms are emerging as notable consumers of energy in competition with other industries like AI and crypto, which have historically occupied this space.
4.
Expansion of Data Centers: Texas' Electric Reliability Council, known as ERCOT, is expected to extend its data center facilities, reaching into areas with rich renewable resources and strong solar and wind capabilities.
5.
Competitive Pressures in Battery Markets: As battery prices continue to fall, market forces are likely to tighten, especially in regulated sectors. This dynamic will empower businesses aiming for operational efficiency and sustainability goals.
6.
A Shift Toward Self-Supply: Conventional energy infrastructures may push some companies, particularly tech companies, to consider on-site energy solutions, reacting to rising transportation charges and supply constraints.
7.
Introduction of Super-Peak Hours: The hours following sunset are projected to become the most costly for energy consumption, marking a notable trend that requires strategic management from suppliers and consumers alike.
8.
Challenges Facing Offshore Wind: Regulatory changes and economic hurdles are anticipated to hinder the offshore wind sector's growth, though established thermal plants are finding new life amid these challenges.
9.
Long-Duration Energy Storage Dilemma: Current solutions for long-duration energy storage are seen as either too costly or inefficient, complicating market integration and development opportunities.
10.
Complexities in Energy Territory Management: As renewable energy sources expand and fossil fuel usage declines, increased cooperation among market participants is anticipated, although deep-rooted mistrust may complicate these transitions.
Gary Dorris, CEO of Ascend Analytics, highlighted the significance of these themes, stating that their analytical rigor offers stakeholders clarity amidst evolving challenges in the energy landscape. "Our predictions not only reflect market data but also emphasize the creative scenarios that may unfold against a complex political and economic backdrop."
Companies and professionals interested in a deeper look into these predictions can visit
Ascend's dedicated page for detailed reports and analyses. Ascend Analytics affirms its commitment to providing the necessary tools for companies to thrive in energy transition and ensure substantial investment returns.
About Ascend Analytics
Ascend Analytics stands as a leader in market intelligence solutions tailored for the energy sector. Their insights assist decision-makers at various levels, enabling efficient planning and risk management within renewable energy ecosystems. Leveraging a comprehensive forecasting framework, Ascend's analyses contribute foundationally to energy project financing valued at over $50 billion. By delivering clarity, Ascend empowers participants to successfully navigate the dynamic and rapidly changing energy market.