Dell'Oro Group Predicts a 16% Growth in Private Wireless RAN by 2025

Private Wireless RAN Growth Slows Down

In a recent forecast published by the Dell'Oro Group, a reputable source in telecommunications market research, a significant deceleration in the growth of Private Wireless Radio Access Network (RAN) has been observed. The report indicates that revenue growth for Private Wireless RAN is expected to hit only 16% in 2025, a drastic decline from the robust growth of previous years, specifically a reduction of almost 2.5 times compared to the growth rate seen in 2024.

Stefan Pongratz, Vice President at Dell'Oro Group, emphasized that private wireless networks continue to be a pivotal growth vector within the broader RAN market. He pointed out that the enterprise sector still presents substantial untapped opportunities. As a market that experienced rapid expansion after initially starting from a minimal base, it seems poised to enter a more measured and strategic growth phase in the coming years.

Key Insights from the Report

The report provides a range of insights regarding the current and expected future state of the Private Wireless RAN sector:

1. Market Share: The revenue generated from Private Wireless RAN represented approximately 3% to 5% of the total RAN revenue in 2025.
2. Global Leadership: China has taken a dominant position in enterprise 5G deployment, reportedly accounting for 40% to 50% of total global Private Wireless RAN revenues.
3. Supplier Landscape: The leading suppliers in the Private Wireless RAN space for 2025 include Huawei, Nokia, and Ericsson. Notably, in regions outside China, Nokia and Ericsson stood out, collectively making up around 80% of market share in this sector.
4. Market Outlook: While the growth outlook for campus networks has been downgraded, there are optimistic projections for wide-area networks, revealing a shift in focus and strategic priorities.

The overarching message from the report remains clear: while private wireless represents a vast opportunity, it is anticipated that enterprises will take time to adopt and embrace private cellular technologies fully. Projections suggest that Private Wireless RAN revenue may experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of between 10% and 20%, potentially reaching 5% to 10% of the total RAN revenue by the year 2030.

Understanding the Market Dynamics

The evolution of technology and market demands plays a significant role in the projected slow down in growth rates. As enterprises evaluate the cost-effectiveness, scalability, and benefits of transitioning to private wireless networks, it is crucial that they weigh these factors in their decision-making processes. The moves towards private cellular technologies signify a progression in how organizations communicate and operate internally, enhancing data security and increasing operational efficiency.

As the communications landscape continues to evolve, expectations are that the private wireless sector will adapt similarly, ultimately presenting unique opportunities as businesses continue to innovate and strive for enhanced connectivity solutions.

Conclusion

The insights from the Dell'Oro Group illuminate an important phase within the telecommunications market, particularly for Private Wireless RAN solutions. While growth rates are anticipated to decelerate, the potential for long-term expansion remains promising. As companies around the globe reassess their strategies to incorporate advanced connectivity solutions, the importance of private cellular networks is bound to increase, making this a critical area to watch in the coming years.

For those looking to delve deeper into this analysis, Dell'Oro Group offers a comprehensive Private Wireless Advanced Research Report, encompassing quarterly vendor share data, and a five-year forecast detailing the trajectory of Private Wireless RAN by geography, technology, and coverage.