The U.S. commercial insurance market continues to exhibit general stability and predictability for buyers, although there is an underlying fragility that industry experts are monitoring closely. A recent report by Lockton highlights various factors impacting the sector, including natural disasters, social inflation, and the current geopolitical landscape.
Lockton's Market Update, which is released quarterly, focuses on essential insights for commercial insurance buyers. The December edition paints a picture of how current economic conditions in the U.S. are affecting insurers, emerging trends, and what businesses should consider in light of the new presidential administration.
Mark Moitoso, Lockton's Risk Practices Leader, states, "Despite an unpredictable year filled with ups and downs, we observe that insurers have shown resilience in their earnings. However, elements such as severe weather events, ongoing geopolitical tension, and the transition of leadership in the U.S. prompt business leaders to seek actionable data to guide their strategies."
Although challenges exist, a few areas in the commercial insurance market show positive momentum. For instance, while issues related to third-party liability remain a concern, the overall capacity in the market, intensified competition, and robust support from reinsurance markets are contributing to a decline in rates for various insurance products. This includes property, workers' compensation, directors, and officers liability coverage, as well as cyber insurance.
Interestingly, forecasts for the property market are more favorable than initially expected, even in the face of significant losses stemming from hurricanes and adverse storms. Yet, outcomes can differ widely based on the individual circumstances of buyers.
Key Highlights from the Update:
- - Insurers reflect strong financial performance, yet the commercial insurance marketplace is delicately poised.
- - The property insurance segment remains competitive despite facing challenges from natural catastrophes.
- - Workers' compensation has emerged as a consistently strong aspect for insurers.
- - Liability insurers face threats from complex litigation and adverse reserve developments.
- - Prices for directors and officers liability are trending down, particularly for publicly traded companies.
- - While current market conditions for cyber insurance favor buyers, a trend towards firming rates is beginning to emerge.
Moitoso elaborates, "With the U.S. economy performing solidly and the insurance market largely stable, concerns about a recession or a shift back to a hard market are fading. However, the risk of sudden, unexpected events could still disrupt this stability. Consequently, market participants are paying close attention to pricing structures, terms, and conditions, particularly concerning third-party coverages. This focus represents one of the most pressing dialogues as we move into 2025."
To gain further insights and recommendations for insurance buyers, interested parties are encouraged to delve into the full December 2024 Lockton Market Update.
About Lockton
Lockton distinguishes itself through its independence. Operating in over 140 countries, the firm empowers its more than 12,600 Associates to prioritize the unique risk, insurance, and people needs of their clients. With a global reach and expertise, Lockton is equipped to navigate complex insurance landscapes, offering tailored solutions that achieve impactful results. For more information, visit
www.lockton.com.