VantageScore 4.0 Analysis Reveals Potential for Millions of Renters to Qualify for Mortgages
A new analysis conducted by VantageScore, with data provided by Esusu, reveals that millions of American renters could potentially qualify for a mortgage by including their on-time rental payments in their credit reports. This finding emerges from an extensive review of over 600,000 renters across the United States. Traditionally, landlords tend to report unfavorable rental situations, such as unpaid rent, to collection agencies, which means that rental data shared with credit rating agencies often reflects only negative aspects. As a result, many responsible renters miss out on the chance to build their credit histories positively.
According to the VantageScore study, only about 13% of renters benefit from positive rental reporting, which results in a significant number of potentially eligible borrowers being locked out of homeownership opportunities. By tweaking credit assessment systems to factor in on-time rent payments, this analysis suggests that the predictive capabilities of credit scores could improve by as much as 11%, enabling lenders to gain a more accurate picture of a borrower's financial health.
The research specifically illustrates that renters who achieve a VantageScore 4.0 of 620 or higher by incorporating their timely rental payments demonstrate a repayment behavior comparable to those whose traditional credit scores also reach that threshold without landlord data. This provides an incentive for lenders to embrace a more inclusive approach by integrating this valuable data into their decision-making processes.
Dr. Andrada Pacheco, Chief Data Scientist at VantageScore, stated, “Positive rental payments are highly predictive and allow VantageScore 4.0 to measure a borrower's true ability to meet mortgage debt obligations.” Such findings suggest that timely rental payments should act as a bridge to homeownership rather than an obstacle. The sentiment shared by Esusu Co-Founders, Wemimo Abbey and Samir Goel, reinforces the idea that the power to change these systemic barriers lies within policy choices rather than individual actions. They emphasized, “This monumental change tells every American renter your history matters, your consistency counts, and your future is worthy of being measured.”
The study also highlights additional significant revelations, including the remarkable uplift in predictive performance when adding rental history to the VantageScore 4.0 framework, which identifies up to 11% more defaults and enhances overall risk assessment metrics by providing up to 3.7% more predictive insight.
Approximately four million renters stand poised to enhance their credit profiles to a score of at least 620, aligning with current Government-Sponsored Enterprise (GSE) lending guidelines. The implementation of rental reporting has seen a growing trend, with states like California, Colorado, and New York initiating programs to mandate reporting of rental payment data. Several other states are evaluating legislation for similar practices, showcasing a significant shift towards more inclusive credit scoring models.
VantageScore, recognized as the fastest-growing credit scoring company in America, stands at the forefront of this evolution by being the first to integrate rental data into its scoring algorithms. This enhancement not only drives significant insights for lenders but also aids in broadening the reach for potential borrowers previously sidelined by conventional credit assessment methods.
With a projected increase in the utilization of VantageScore, which reportedly surged by 55% in 2024, it now services over 42 billion credit scores across various platforms, including participation from top U.S. banks. This improvement signifies a transformative moment for mortgage lending and offers hope to millions of renters seeking homeownership. As this progressive movement continues, both VantageScore and Esusu are leading the charge in redefining creditworthiness and accessibility in the housing market.