Nearly 500,000 Americans with Diabetes May Lose Medicaid Coverage by 2034: New ADA Study

A Looming Crisis: Diabetes and Medicaid in America



A groundbreaking study released by the American Diabetes Association (ADA) indicates that unless significant policy changes are enacted, close to 500,000 Americans living with diabetes are projected to lose their Medicaid coverage by the year 2034. This alarming statistic is drawn from research conducted by Health Management Associates, commissioned by the ADA itself.

Widespread Implications for Rural Communities



The study highlights that the impact of Medicaid coverage loss will be especially pronounced in rural areas of the United States as well as states that have expanded their Medicaid programs following the enactment of the Affordable Care Act (ACA). Currently, around 1.5 million Medicaid recipients with diabetes are also expected to face new cost-sharing requirements that will start taking effect in 2029. For many of these individuals, such obligations could lead to skyrocketing out-of-pocket expenses, potentially reaching $1,000 or more annually depending on the state.

Lisa Murdock, the ADA's chief advocacy officer, expressed grave concerns regarding the potential repercussions of these coverage losses, stating that they will have dire implications on both personal health and the broader healthcare system. Patients may find themselves needing increased emergency room visits and heightened hospitalizations, ultimately resulting in more complex diabetes-related complications.

Cost-Sharing and Coverage Interruptions



The study notes that beyond Medicaid, changes to the ACA—including the recent expiration of tax credits—may also cause 654,000 individuals with diabetes to experience interruptions in their healthcare coverage through the individual market. Notably, the greatest losses are anticipated in the southern regions of the United States, areas where diabetes prevalence is already higher than in other parts of the country.

In light of these findings, the ADA is advocating for the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) to revise its definition of

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